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	<title>Apathy Sketchpad &#187; Science</title>
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	<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog</link>
	<description>Floccinaucinihilipilificating antidisestablishmentarianism since 2001.</description>
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		<title>Cherry-Picking the Society of Homeopaths</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2010/02/25/cherry-picking-the-society-of-homeopaths/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2010/02/25/cherry-picking-the-society-of-homeopaths/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Feb 2010 23:25:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Homeopathy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=1174</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To discover how honest homeopaths are, here is a passage from the Society of Homeopaths&#8217; website, edited for accuracy:
Homeopathy simply explained: What is Homeopathy?
Homeopathy is an effective system of healing which assists the natural tendency of the body to heal itself. It recognises that symptoms of ill health are expressions of disharmony within the whole person [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To discover how honest homeopaths are, here is<a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.homeopathy-soh.org/about-homeopathy/what-is-homeopathy/simply-explained.aspx"> a passage from the Society of Homeopaths&#8217; website</a>, edited for accuracy:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Homeopathy <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">simply explained</span>: What <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">is Homeopathy</span>?</strong></p>
<p><strong>Homeopathy is an <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">effective system of healing which</span> ass<span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">ists the natural tendency of the body to heal itself</span>. It recognises that <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">symptoms of ill health are expressions of disharmony within the whole person and that</span><span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;"> it is</span> the patient <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">who</span> needs treatment <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">not the disease</span>.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In 1796, a German doctor, Samuel Hahnemann, discovered <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">a different approach to the cure of the sick which he called homeopathy (from</span> the Greek words meaning &#8217;similar suffering&#8217;). <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">Like Hippocrates two thousand years earlier</span>, he <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">realised there were two ways of treating ill health: the way of</span> oppos<span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">it</span>es, <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">most commonly used by conventional</span> medicine <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">and the way of similars</span><span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">.</span></strong></p>
<p><strong>Hahnemann discovered that diluting and succussing (shaking) remedies, which homeopaths call potentisation, <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">not only</span> produced fewer <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">side effects but also produced better</span> results. Homeopathic remedies are <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">drawn from the natural world and</span> prescribed <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">on the principle of treating “like with like” or the way of similars.</span></strong></p>
<p><strong><span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">How</span> does it work?</strong></p>
<p><strong>Scientists <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">cannot yet</span> explain the <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">precise mechanism of action for homeopathy but there is</span> published evidence <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">of its efficacy. It is believed</span> that homeopathic remedies work <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">by stimulating the body&#8217;s own healing abilities and that this stimulus</span> as<span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">sists your own system to</span> clear <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">itself of any</span> expressions of imbalance. <span style="color: #999999; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: line-through;">For more details on research evidence, please see the Society’s website at www.homeopathy-soh.org.</span></strong></p></blockquote>
<p>That&#8217;s not too bad. I&#8217;ve crossed out very little by homeopathic dilution standards.</p>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>&#8220;Choice&#8221; in Medicine</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2010/02/12/choice-in-medicine/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2010/02/12/choice-in-medicine/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Feb 2010 18:51:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Homeopathy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=1169</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A theme I&#8217;ve heard a lot about from alternative medicine types is &#8220;choice&#8221;. Homeopaths in particular are extremely keen that everyone be given a choice between &#8216;conventional&#8217; and homeopathic medicine. Choice is, of course, a good thing. People should have a choice wherever possible. But the way alternative medicine practitioners use the word is disingenuous at best.
I&#8217;m [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A theme I&#8217;ve heard a lot about from alternative medicine types is &#8220;choice&#8221;. Homeopaths in particular are extremely keen that everyone be given a choice between &#8216;conventional&#8217; and homeopathic medicine. Choice is, of course, a good thing. People should have a choice wherever possible. But the way alternative medicine practitioners use the word is disingenuous at best.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m going to skip over the argument for choice <em>within the NHS</em>, as I think that&#8217;s more to do with entitlement issues and the persecution complex fringe groups always adopt when their absurd privileges are taken away &#8212; hence every &#8216;attack on Christianity&#8217; news report you&#8217;ve ever read or <a href="http://www.wetheundereducated.com/category/anything-i-want-should-be-free/i-want-to-watch-sports-for-free/">the endless &#8216;put the football on the BBC&#8217; petitions on the 10 Downing Street website</a>. The problem with &#8216;choice&#8217; as an argument for providing alternative remedies is that their practitioners are intent on<em> taking away</em> any choice you may have.</p>
<p>A particularly gutsy <em>Deal Or No Deal</em> contestant may find themselves offered the swap with only the 1p and £250,000 boxes in play. Their dilemma, essentially, is between the prize in box 4 and the prize in box 17. One of them is life-changing money, the other won&#8217;t cover their bus fare if they live down the road. If they call it wrong, we wouldn&#8217;t incredulously ask them why anyone would want 1p instead of £250,000. They were never given a meaningful choice.</p>
<p>Both extremes of the &#8216;choice&#8217; argument can agree on one thing: homeopathy and evidence-based medicine do not <em>both</em> work. One of them cures diseases, and the other is a waste of time and money. A patient given a choice between homeopathy and real medicine is in the same position as the <em>Deal Or No Deal</em> contestant above: they want the medicine that will cure their disease, but they don&#8217;t know which box it&#8217;s in. The patient has no meaningful choice until they&#8217;re told which medicine works (at which point they <em>still </em>have no meaningful choice since one option just seems silly).</p>
<p>An uninformed choice is no choice at all, so the people pushing for consumer choice are the skeptics who work to disseminate evidence of efficacy or lack thereof, to expose quacks and to debunk media scare stories. They are giving people the information which enables them to make a choice. Homeopaths are effectively arguing that we are &#8216;anti-choice&#8217; because we want to give people information that will make the choice so easy it will cease to exist. I think they are anti-choice because they deprive people of information that makes the choice meaningful &#8212; and often give out misinformation that makes the answer to their dilemma both obvious and wrong. When they die of a treatable condition, will the homeopath stand up in court and say &#8216;this is what he chose&#8217;?</p>
<p>Nobody is arguing that consumers should have a <em>choice</em> between conventional business deals and Nigerian princes who e-mail them opportunities.</p>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>How Homeopathy Works</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2010/01/24/how-homeopathy-works/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2010/01/24/how-homeopathy-works/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 24 Jan 2010 15:27:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[10:23]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Homeopathy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=1154</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This Saturday, a lot of people are going to publicly overdose on homeopathic medicine, to prove that the pills are totally inert. This is part of the &#8216;10:23&#8242; campaign. Personally, I love homeopathy. Its practices read like a scathing satire of alternative medicine. Literally every part of it is wrong. Just as you think it&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This Saturday, a lot of people are going to publicly overdose on homeopathic medicine, to prove that the pills are totally inert. This is part of <a href="http://www.1023.org.uk">the &#8216;10:23&#8242; campaign</a>. Personally, I love homeopathy. Its practices read like a scathing satire of alternative medicine. Literally every part of it is wrong. Just as you think it&#8217;s done being silly, you read the next bit and if anything it gets more absurd. Allow me to explain.</p>
<p>The way homeopathy works — I say &#8216;works&#8217;. The way homeopathy is <em>thought </em>to work — I say &#8216;thought&#8217;. The way homeopathy is <em>believed </em>to work is by a principle called &#8216;like cures like&#8217;. So you cure a disease using something that causes the same symptoms (even though they tell you that homeopathy treats diseases, not symptoms unlike, they say, something which they call &#8216;allopathy&#8217; and which everyone else calls &#8216;medicine&#8217;). So, for example, say you have fractured limbs. As any player of Theme Hospital will tell you, Fractured Limbs is caused by falling from high places onto concrete, so you might get some concrete, put it in a glass of water and call it medicine. That&#8217;s a rather facetious example, but you can genuinely buy homeopathic remedies made with <a href="http://www.helios.co.uk/cgi-bin/store.cgi?action=link&amp;sku=dolp-s">dolphin song</a> or <a href="http://www.btinternet.com/~WellMother/venus.htm">the light of Venus</a>. The light of Venus? What disease does that cause? I think if you&#8217;re exposed to significant amounts of Venus-light then the terrible heat and the atmosphere of sulphuric acid will be what does for you. Homeopaths work out what diseases to flog these esoteric tinctures for by giving them to healthy people and writing down what it does to them. In case nothing happens, they omit such extravagances as a control group or any statistical tests, so they get the same guaranteed results as the <em>N </em>= 1 science of <em>Braniac</em>. They call these experiments &#8216;provings&#8217;, which is a bit like me writing &#8216;working&#8217; on my timesheet when I was actually doodling: it is what I would like people to believe I was doing.</p>
<p>Anyway. You take your medicine, which you&#8217;ve carefully selected to be the worst possible thing you could give the patient, and dilute it. This, homeopaths conveniently assert, reduces its harmful effects while amplifying its presumed healing properties. You take a drop of the water with your medicine in, and put it in 10ml of fresh water, which is assumed to be about a 1:100 dilution, which they call &#8220;1C&#8221;. Then you shake it, or hit it with a book. (That obviously achieves nothing, so it can be fun to leave it out, thereby making homeopaths say amusingly daft things like &#8216;well of course it&#8217;s going to sound silly if you don&#8217;t mention the succussion&#8217;, which is the word they invented for hitting things with books.) Then you repeat the dilution, and succussion, so you have a 1:10,000 dilution, which they call &#8220;2C&#8221; and then again so you have a 1:1,000,000, or &#8220;3C&#8221; dilution. They call it a &#8216;potency&#8217; instead of a &#8216;dilution&#8217; because that sounds more like it might work, but chemists may recognise this as the technique used to remove all trace of a chemical from titration pipettes (except they&#8217;re delicate so you don&#8217;t hit them with books). Homeopathic remedies are routinely sold at a potency of &#8220;100C&#8221;, which means&#8230;</p>
<p>The problem with a 100C dilution is that it&#8217;s beyond analogy or satire. A 60C dilution would have to literally fill the entire universe before it had even a remotely realistic chance of containing a single molecule. When homeopathy was first imagined, we didn&#8217;t know about <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avogadro_constant">Avogadro&#8217;s Number</a>, but now we know that beyond 12C there are generally no molecules left of the original medicine. It&#8217;s just a glass of water. So modern homeopaths have invented a thing called the &#8216;memory of water&#8217;. Some of them write long pieces of gibberish about quantum theory which read like a shooting script for one of the sillier episodes of <em>Star Trek Voyager</em>, but mostly they pin their meagre hopes on some kind of unspecified crystalline microstructures which they say form around molecules in water, and which heal your body somehow and don&#8217;t get damaged by being repeatedly hit with a book. Of course nobody has ever shown the memory of water effect in a laboratory or that homeopathic remedies have any therapeutic effect, but they write a lot more entertaining but merit-free quantum bullshit to explain that away. This empty water can optionally be soaked into a sugar pill if liquid medicine isn&#8217;t your thing, so my advice would be not to give hyperactive children homeopathic sleeping pills.</p>
<p>The problem with the &#8216;memory of water&#8217; hypothesis (aside from the fact that it isn&#8217;t true) is that beyond a 24C dilution there is none of the 12C solution left either, so water would not only have to remember what it contained, but communicate this information to some future water. A 100C dilution would have had to do this at least four times. This aqueous Chinese-whispers obviously has no active ingredient, and homeopaths therefore believe that the real power of homeopathy is that it activates the body&#8217;s own healing powers, which sounds very natural and healthy but raises two rather important questions, the first of which is &#8216;why doesn&#8217;t the body just use those powers in the first place?&#8217;, and the second of which is &#8216;what environment did mankind evolve in where this was the best system?&#8217;. Developing an immune system that needs kick-starting by some water which used to have poison in it seems to me like an evolutionary mis-step.</p>
<p>No, the immune system evolved to try its level best to fix anything that might go wrong in the body, but it&#8217;s a bit of an ad-hoc job and doesn&#8217;t always get it right. Sometimes it&#8217;s slow, sometimes it fails, and sometimes epically backfires and kills its owner. Modern medicine works by giving a group of intelligent people a deep understanding and knowledge of anatomy, asking them to interfere with the natural progression of a disease, and banking on their expertise to make a better fist of it than the body&#8217;s in-built system, which by the way is the same system that reckons if you don&#8217;t wash your face enough you need a load of spots that hurt to clean. It&#8217;s a slightly messy process, obviously, because there&#8217;s a finite number of options available, so we do massive amounts of research to discover every effect that every chemical and surgical procedure we can think of has on the body. Doctors look through that research to find one which will do what they need it to, and anything else it happens to do is called a &#8217;side effect&#8217; and the patient has to put up with them or take their chances with the disease.</p>
<p>Homeopaths, on the other hand, insist their medicine has no side effects. Much like the Daily Mail, they see the world as divided into &#8216;healing&#8217; and &#8216;disease-causing&#8217; things, and like the Daily Mail put everything on both lists. It&#8217;s just a pathetic piece of magical thinking which belies a complete lack of understanding of how the world works. It&#8217;s not divided into &#8216;good&#8217; and &#8216;bad&#8217; things; things are right or wrong for a particular purpose. It&#8217;s this kind of thinking that leads to people putting deisel in a petrol engine, assuming they haven&#8217;t ruined it already by using 100C unleaded.</p>
<div style="float: right; background-image: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: #dddddd; text-align: center; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; width: 500px; padding: 5px; margin: 5px; border: 1px solid black;"><small><img style="border: 0px initial initial;" src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3380/3501378546_dda6e1d914.jpg" border="0" alt="Sugar pills" width="500" height="375" /><br />
<em>Homeopathic medicines in Boots, labelled with poncey Latin names to appear more credible. Hence the alternative spelling &#8216;homœopathy&#8217;.</em><br />
</small><small><a title="Attribution-ShareAlike License" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/wp-content/plugins/photo-dropper/images/cc.png" border="0" alt="Creative Commons License" width="16" height="16" align="absmiddle" /></a> <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/79755610@N00/3501378546/" target="_blank">photo</a> credit: <a title="Gwyn Richards" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/79755610@N00/3501378546/" target="_blank">Gwyn Richards</a></small></div>
<p>And obviously people are perfectly free to think this way and to spend many a happy afternoon pointlessly diluting glasses of water and hitting them with books. Probably the ritual will make them feel better. But if people rely on this voodoo nonsense instead of real medicine, they die. And <a href="http://whatstheharm.net/homeopathy.html">when they promote it over real medicine, they kill</a>. <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2009/nov/25/homeopathy-nhs-commons-committee-inquiry">Boots the Chemist have admitted in Parliament that there is no evidence that homeopathic medicines work, but they sell them anyway, alongside the real medicine, because &#8220;[their] customers think they work&#8221;</a>. Campaigns like <a href="http://www.1023.org.uk/">10:23</a> are important to minimise the harm these things do.</p>
<p>Homeopaths will tell you that 10:23 does nothing to disprove homeopathy. The stunt is for loads of people to each chug an entire box of pills all at once to demonstrate that nothing happens. Such homeopathic overdose stunts have been done before, and homeopaths have got their excuse down pat by now: they say that any non-zero number of pills, if swallowed all at once, is the same as one pill. (I agree, apart from the &#8216;non-zero&#8217; part.) They can say this, and indeed anything they like, because once you&#8217;ve effectively invoked magic, all bets are off. But the point isn&#8217;t to convince homeopaths — they&#8217;re far too invested to quit now — but to show everyone else how silly it is. If you have a bit of a cold and someone suggests you try homeopathy, and you do and you get better because it was only a cold, that can be quite convincing. But if we can goad the homeopathic community into publicly saying something as patently absurd as &#8220;one hundred pills is the same dose as one pill&#8221; then that&#8217;s a valuable victory. Anyone who&#8217;s seen that will think twice before entrusting their health to a homeopath. It also raises questions about why the packaging of these pills says to take a dose of two. That&#8217;s the business plan of a dodgy plumber.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s the point: we don&#8217;t need to disprove homeopathy. Aside from the fact that it is the homeopaths&#8217; responsibility to prove their theory, all you need to do to homeopathy is hand it enough rope. A public awareness campaign is exactly the last thing homeopaths need.</p>
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		<slash:comments>21</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>If Science Cannot Do Without Nutt&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/11/04/if-science-cannot-do-without-nutt/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/11/04/if-science-cannot-do-without-nutt/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 02:02:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alan Johnson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ann Widdecombe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Nutt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gordon Brown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Melanie Phillips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Daily Mail]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=1122</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Presumably if you&#8217;re reading this you&#8217;ve heard that Alan Johnson demanded David Nutt resign as head of something called the Advisory Council on the Misuse of Drugs for comments he made in a speech reproduced as a pamphlet you can download. I have read his speech. It&#8217;s quite interesting. It discusses the intentions of the drug classification [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Presumably if you&#8217;re reading this you&#8217;ve heard that Alan Johnson demanded David Nutt resign as head of something called the Advisory Council on the Misuse of Drugs for comments he made in <a href="http://www.crimeandjustice.org.uk/estimatingdrugharms.html">a speech reproduced as a pamphlet you can download</a>. I have read his speech. It&#8217;s quite interesting. It discusses the intentions of the drug classification system, criticises the current implementation, and offers a proposal for and justification of an alternative based on a systematic comparison the effects of a range of drugs, according to criteria decided by the public. This is complete with references, and in short exactly the sort of thing a Professor of Neuropsychopharmacology should be doing and while <a href="http://transform-drugs.blogspot.com/2007/03/lancet-and-drug-harms-missing-bigger.html">it&#8217;s not perfect</a> I honestly can&#8217;t imagine why anyone would sack him for it.</p>
<p>Ann Widdecombe, who can always be relied upon to jump into the wrong side of any issue put before her, offered this dismal attempt at an explanation:</p>
<blockquote><p>Look, you read your newspapers every day. Scientific advice changes almost as often as the wind.</p></blockquote>
<p>You can <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b00nm7nh/Jeremy_Vine_02_11_2009/">hear this on iPlayer now</a>; I <a href="http://twitter.com/krypto/statuses/5361655323">heard about it from @krypto</a>. And she&#8217;s right, of course, because the sum total of everything we know about the universe changes when we learn new things. Your choices are to go with what we know now, understanding that it could change in the future, or to make shit up and run with that. If you want to make shit up then fine (it&#8217;s called religion), but don&#8217;t foist your made up shit on me, and don&#8217;t employ a scientific advisor to make it look credible or else <em style="font-style: italic;">exactly this is bound to happen</em>.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-1224858/Yes-scientists-good-But-country-run-arrogant-gods-certainty-truly-hell-earth.html">The Daily Mail&#8217;s A N Wilson also defended Johnson</a>, who presumably wishes he wouldn&#8217;t, saying</p>
<blockquote><p>The only difference between Hitler and previous governments was that he believed, with babyish credulity, in science as the only truth. He allowed scientists freedoms which a civilised government would have checked.</p></blockquote>
<p>This was accompanied by an inset photo of Hitler until The Jan Moir Police made them take it down.</p>
<p>While obviously Wilson&#8217;s biggest crime against reason in that quote is kidnapping the word &#8216;only&#8217; and dumping it, lost and confused, in front of an idea well outside its comfort zone, he&#8217;s also quaintly ignorant. Hitler was a big fan of science in principle, but corrupted it with quackery and racist ideology, and all but banned theoretical work as &#8216;Jewish science&#8217; (except secretly where it might help his war effort). Anyone caught doing science that didn&#8217;t fit the racist message was fired. One mathematician even attempted to prove quantum mechanics and Nazism were the same thing. All of this is covered in <a href="http://www.johngrantpaulbarnett.com/CorruptedScience.html">John Grant&#8217;s </a><em style="font-style: italic;"><a href="http://www.johngrantpaulbarnett.com/CorruptedScience.html">Corrupted Science</a></em> which I presume the Daily Mail&#8217;s A N Wilson hasn&#8217;t read, because it is a book.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.melaniephillips.com/articles-new/?p=691">Melanie Phillips, also of the Mail, implied pretty strongly that Nutt&#8217;s claims were simply wrong</a>, which would at least be a legitimate defence of his sacking, were it true.</p>
<blockquote><p>The reason they are casting the Home Secretary as the villain of this episode is that the chattering classes have bought into the idea that soft drugs are indeed less dangerous than alcohol or tobacco. They therefore think Nutt is the voice of scientific reason.</p>
<p>But he is not.</p></blockquote>
<p>She does, at least, appear to have read his speech, as she criticises it piece by context-free piece, which is perhaps as strong an endorsement as a scientific claim can get. Melanie Phillips&#8217; views on science are almost uniformly opposed to reality. Take, for example <a href="http://www.badscience.net/2005/11/comment-the-mmr-sceptic-who-just-doesnt-understand-science/">her butchering of the Cochrane report on MMR</a> or <a href="http://skeptico.blogs.com/skeptico/2009/04/melanie-phillips-wrong-on-intelligent-design-creationism.html">her support for &#8216;intelligent design&#8217;</a>. Incidentally, Nutt&#8217;s speech cites the MMR fiasco as an example of harm done by ignoring evidence. Phillips doesn&#8217;t mention this. (<a href="http://transform-drugs.blogspot.com/2007/03/lancet-and-drug-harms-missing-bigger.html">For a better cricism of Nutt&#8217;s ideas, see the Transform blog post about the original paper</a>.)</p>
<p>On what I will generously refer to as &#8216;the left&#8217;, <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2009/nov/02/drug-policy-alan-johnson-nutt">Alan Johnson himself defended his actions by saying</a></p>
<blockquote>
<p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 13px; margin-left: 0px; border-collapse: collapse; background-repeat: no-repeat; padding: 0px;">Professor Nutt was not sacked for his views, which I respect but disagree with &#8230; He was asked to go because he cannot be both a government adviser and a campaigner against government policy. This principle is well understood and long established.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Widdecombe also made this case. And it&#8217;s true, although irrelevant. This was a lecture about scientific work, not a campaign. In any case, I think it&#8217;s equally well understood and established that you can&#8217;t ignore science and expect your science adviser to sit there and let you get on with it. Even if Nutt had crossed the line into campaigning, I think he would have been justified in doing so. As it is, Nutt did little more than present an alternative idea for consideration and present arguments in its favour (i.e., science). <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/politics/6493671/Gordon-Brown-backs-sacking-of-chief-drugs-adviser-Prof-David-Nutt.html">Gordon Brown believes Nutt should be fired for this</a>, &#8220;because we cannot send mixed messages&#8221;, an argument pre-emptively demolished by Nutt himself on page 12 of <a href="http://www.crimeandjustice.org.uk/opus1714/Estimating_drug_harms.pdf">the PDF transcript</a>.</p>
<p><a href="http://layscience.net/node/718">Martin at LayScience.net points out</a> <em style="font-style: italic;">[with my annotation in square brackets]</em> that</p>
<blockquote><p>nobody hearing Professor Nutt speaking about the government is going to confuse him with a Labour minister <em style="font-style: italic;">[</em><em style="font-style: italic;"><a href="http://timesonline.typepad.com/science/2009/11/david-nutts-controversial-lecture-conformed-to-government-guidelines.html">and it was made clear Nutt was speaking only as a scientist</a></em><em style="font-style: italic;">]</em>, so the problem that Gordon Brown is referring to is the problem of a senior scientist publishing and publicising research that contradicts the government line. In Gordon Brown&#8217;s world of control freakery, such dissent is not to be tolerated.</p></blockquote>
<p>which sounds familiar but I shan&#8217;t comment on why because I&#8217;m not sure what happens if <em style="font-style: italic;">both</em> sides of an argument are compared to Hitler.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t listen to these people, and don&#8217;t listen to me. <a href="http://www.crimeandjustice.org.uk/estimatingdrugharms.html">Read Nutt&#8217;s speech for yourself</a>. If you&#8217;re a scientist, you&#8217;ll find its structure and tone familiar and start to wonder what all the fuss was about. If not, just read it and then ask yourself if you&#8217;d consider it &#8216;<em style="font-style: italic;">campaigning</em> against government policy&#8217; or &#8216;a man telling a class what he does at work&#8217;.</p>
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		<title>Why We Don&#8217;t Have Flying Cars And JetPacks</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/10/10/why-we-dont-have-flying-cars-and-jetpacks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/10/10/why-we-dont-have-flying-cars-and-jetpacks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 14:53:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[University]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=1099</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My PhD research makes use of CT scanning, so I&#8217;ve had to do a lot of research into that for the literature review. Here is some of the knowledge I&#8217;ve gained:
The mathematical framework that makes CT possible was all outlined in 1917 by Johann Radon. Then in the 50s, the mathematical framework was outlined again, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My PhD research makes use of CT scanning, so I&#8217;ve had to do a lot of research into that for the literature review. Here is some of the knowledge I&#8217;ve gained:</p>
<p>The mathematical framework that makes CT possible was all outlined in 1917 by Johann Radon. Then in the 50s, the mathematical framework was outlined again, differently, by Allan McLeod Cormack, who invented the CT scanner without having read Radon&#8217;s work. Then, in 1973, the CT scanner was invented by Godfrey Hounsfield, who hadn&#8217;t read Radon <em>or</em> Cormack&#8217;s work. For this, Cormack and Hounsfield won the Nobel Prize.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll be honest, this somewhat undermines the importance of the literature review in my mind.</p>
<p>Only&#8230; I wonder what amazing stuff we&#8217;d have invented by now if we&#8217;d started inventing information technologies instead of pissing about with steam engines all that time. There should have been Discworld-style semaphore towers up and down the country in Tudor times <em>at least</em>. Why should a message take days to get across the country just because that&#8217;s how long paper takes? We could have had a CT scanner in the 30s, for a start. By now I&#8217;m totally convinced we&#8217;d have flying cars and moonbases.</p>
<p>And even given that, scientific knowledge is still trapped in PDF versions of paper journals, behind a myriad different paywalls and arbitrary institutional subscription lists. That&#8217;s a <em>terrible </em>system. It should be on a big database, searchable by any parameter you like. If I&#8217;ve got a question to which mankind has found an answer, I should be able to run a quick-and-dirty search and get a good idea what that answer is in about fifteen minutes.</p>
<p>If you want jetpacks, don&#8217;t invent the jetpack, reform scientific information handling. Because that way it&#8217;ll come with teleports and moving hologram projectors and sexy androids and other implausible future stuff.</p>
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		<title>The Respectable Face Of PR Science Formulae</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/09/19/the-respectable-face-of-pr-science-formulae/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/09/19/the-respectable-face-of-pr-science-formulae/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Sep 2009 11:42:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stupid Formulae]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=1080</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I was going to throw this up on Google Reader and let FriendFeed tweet it at you all, but since I have apparently become the standard reference for &#8216;perfect formula&#8217; stories, I thought I&#8217;d stick it up on here. Presenting&#8230; The Respectable Face Of PR Science Formulae!
From the b3ta newsletter, it&#8217;s OK Cupid&#8217;s analysis of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was going to throw this up on Google Reader and let FriendFeed tweet it at you all, but <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2009/sep/02/perfect-formula-festival-science">since I have apparently become</a> <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/dec/13/britney-spears-sun-bad-science">the standard reference</a> for <a href="http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/tag/stupid-formulae/">&#8216;perfect formula&#8217; stories</a>, I thought I&#8217;d stick it up on here. Presenting&#8230; <strong>The Respectable Face Of PR Science Formulae!</strong></p>
<p>From the b3ta newsletter, it&#8217;s <a href="http://blog.okcupid.com/index.php/2009/09/14/online-dating-advice-exactly-what-to-say-in-a-first-message/#">OK Cupid&#8217;s analysis of what words and phrases are more successful than others at eliciting a response</a> to a first-contact message. Essentially, it&#8217;s a formula for the perfect on-line chat-up line, and it basically reads &#8217;spell right, don&#8217;t be a creep, and mention specific interests&#8217;. It&#8217;s just a blog post, so it&#8217;s still not really Proper, Peer-Reviewed Science, but there are enough mentions of <em>N</em> and <em>f</em> and statistical significance &#8212; all used quite correctly &#8212; as well as a note about anonymisation, that my instinct says they probably did it right. And the results are a nice mix of the obvious (read the other person&#8217;s profile), the counter-intuitive (confidence is bad) and the interesting (mentioning a religion is good but mentioning atheism is better).</p>
<p>In any case, it does what the original &#8216;perfect formulae&#8217; story tried to do (or at least what its creator claims he tried to do and I see no reason to disbelieve him), which is to combine clever PR with an actual attempt to show how science can be relevant. And it worked, because <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/6196584/Atheists-have-more-success-at-online-dating.html">here it is in the Telegraph</a>, alongside a photo of attractive young people kissing each other, for purely illustrative reasons, naturally. Wouldn&#8217;t it be nice if companies realised they could get the PR without the sneers of intellectuals if they just did these things right?</p>
<p>Also I&#8217;m inclined to like it because it seems to say that self-effacing male atheist physicists are sexy. And I think we can all agree that that&#8217;s basically indisputable.</p>
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		<title>The Telegraph is a serious newspaper!</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/08/22/the-telegraph-is-a-serious-newspaper/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/08/22/the-telegraph-is-a-serious-newspaper/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 Aug 2009 15:44:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Telegraph]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=1039</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
 picture credit: ssoosay
Advances in technology are already leading to the development of robots that mimic human appearance as well as movement.Â And security experts fear terror groups could diguise them as innocent pedestrians in future plots.
The key word here, I think, is &#8216;future&#8217;. I&#8217;m thinking maybe&#8230; forty years hence? I mean, maybe mankind will be [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style="float: right; background-image: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; -webkit-background-clip: initial; -webkit-background-origin: initial; background-color: #ffffff; text-align: center; background-position: initial initial; padding: 7px; margin: 7px; border: 1px solid #dddddd;"><a title="Evil Robo" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/76284765@N00/3705663168/" target="_blank"><img src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2481/3705663168_879fb2667f_m.jpg" border="0" alt="Evil Robo" /></a><br />
<small><a title="Attribution License" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/wp-content/plugins/photo-dropper/images/cc.png" border="0" alt="Creative Commons License" width="16" height="16" align="absmiddle" /></a> <a href="http://www.photodropper.com/photos/" target="_blank">picture</a> credit: <a title="ssoosay" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/76284765@N00/3705663168/" target="_blank">ssoosay</a></small></div>
<blockquote><p><a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/politics/lawandorder/6028144/Robot-suicide-bombers-fear.html#">Advances in technology are already leading to the development of robots that mimic human appearance as well as movement</a>.Â And security experts fear terror groups could diguise them as innocent pedestrians in future plots.</p></blockquote>
<p>The key word here, I think, is &#8216;future&#8217;. I&#8217;m thinking maybe&#8230; forty years hence? I mean, maybe mankind will be able to create a realistic replica human in the next decade, but not at a price some wingnut religious fundamentalist would be able to afford. Certainly it won&#8217;t be cheaper or easier than radicalising a disillusioned student any time even remotely soon.</p>
<blockquote><p>The call [forÂ ideas for anti-terrorism gadgets] is part of a new terrorism science and technology strategy and echoes the fictional boffin &#8220;Q&#8221;, made famous in the James Bond stories.</p></blockquote>
<p>Yes, thankyou. Just report the news and I&#8217;ll relate it to my experience of popular culture myself. Further, I hypothesise that any article that uses the word &#8216;boffin&#8217; is a load of shit. You don&#8217;t even need a clever idea to spot an android posing as a human. A cheap (by then) thermal camera will do it, I should think. A weighing scale will probably suffice. Analyse its gait. Fire random EM pulses about the place.</p>
<blockquote><p>Millions of pounds could be available to fund the right product and one idea that has already found success is a maritime &#8220;stinger&#8221; able to stop a terrorist speedboat.</p></blockquote>
<p>Terrorists <em>haven&#8217;t got</em> speedboats. They&#8217;ve got flour and vegetable oil. They&#8217;ve got rucksacks and bus passes. They dig up corpses and bomb cars. They use mobiles and email and trains, just like everyone else. The only terrorists who have speedboats are the fictional ones made famous in the James Bond films. People with easy access to speedboats wouldn&#8217;t bomb in such crude ways even if they wanted to &#8212; which they wouldn&#8217;t because people <em>who&#8217;ve got speedboats</em> tend to be pretty chuffed with the status quo just the way it is, thankyou very much.</p>
<p>Some of them have missiles, mind, so the problem of &#8216;how to blow something up without being there&#8217; isn&#8217;t one they can&#8217;t solve already.</p>
<blockquote><p>Experts with ideas to counter future threats are urged to get in contact.</p></blockquote>
<p>Okay. I have some ideas.</p>
<p>First, I thought that we could counter the clear and present danger posed by terrorist androids posing as humans by the invention of the Android Detection Kit. It&#8217;s small and fits in a handbag, and although it looks like one of those little flexible magnets people used to use to distinguish aluminium cans from steel ones, with the writing crossed out and &#8216;android detector&#8217; written in, it is in fact a highly technical robosensor unit.</p>
<p>Next, we should definitely develop some kind of teleport jamming field, because the danger that a terrorist might simply beam a bomb into the middle of a shopping centre or a train station is&#8211; well, not a train station, obviously, because we&#8217;d all be teleporting around the place instead, but maybe the car park outside the teleport shop.</p>
<p>Although I suppose they&#8217;d just teleport your teleport to you. Never mind.</p>
<p>Lastly, I think releasing a gaseous form of Carex into the environment would help. It would be designed to work on humans rather than bacteria, and would kill the bad humans while promoting the growth of good humans, such as <em>homo immunitas</em>.</p>
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		<title>If It&#8217;s There, I&#8217;ll Give You The Money Myself II</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/05/17/if-its-there-ill-give-you-the-money-myself-ii/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/05/17/if-its-there-ill-give-you-the-money-myself-ii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2009 18:34:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Surveys]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Theos]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=1017</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Theos, the self-appointed &#8216;public theology think-tank&#8217;, whatever precisely a &#8216;think-tank&#8217; actually is, have done another survey. Their last one, you may recall, reached such eminently plausible conclusions as &#8216;38% of Jews believe in the virgin birth of Christ&#8217; and &#8216;36% of people of no religion celebrate Christmas as a religious festival&#8217;. This one says that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Theos, the self-appointed &#8216;public theology think-tank&#8217;, whatever precisely a &#8216;think-tank&#8217; actually is, <a href="http://www.theosthinktank.co.uk/Four_in_ten_people_believe_in_ghosts.aspx?ArticleID=3015&amp;PageID=14&amp;RefPageID=14">have done another survey</a>. <a href="http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2008/12/14/if-its-there-ill-give-you-the-money-myself/">Their last one, you may recall</a>, reached such eminently plausible conclusions as &#8216;38% of Jews believe in the virgin birth of Christ&#8217; and &#8216;36% of people of no religion celebrate Christmas as a religious festival&#8217;. This one says that 39% of Britons (including 50% of Londoners) believe in ghosts. The margins of error aren&#8217;t quoted, but you can work them out and they&#8217;re about 39%Â±2% and 50%Â±5%. It also says that 22% (Â±2%) of Britons believe in astrology.</p>
<p><em>Seriously</em>? You want me to believe that half the population of London actually think that see-through dead people float through the city rattling people&#8217;s drawers? I&#8217;m sorry, but that simply isn&#8217;t plausible to me. I know people are easily led and a bit gullible. I accept that. But I thought Theos said that 34% of people believe in Jesus and 33% say they&#8217;re not sure. You can&#8217;t simultaneously accept Christianity and believe in ghosts, and that only leaves 32%. Okay, so there are error margins on this but I don&#8217;t for a second accept that all atheists believe in ghosts &#8212; because I&#8217;m one and I don&#8217;t. Someone would have taken a photograph by now. I don&#8217;t think there&#8217;s anything that exists that hasn&#8217;t been photographed, aside perhaps from the Higgs Boson.</p>
<p>The director of Theos, Paul Wooley, said</p>
<blockquote><p>The extent of belief will probably surprise people, but the finding is consistent with other research we have undertaken.</p></blockquote>
<p>It&#8217;s consistent in that they all report implausibly high belief in ridiculous ideas, yes. Then he said</p>
<blockquote><p>The results indicate that people have a very diverse and unorthodox set of beliefs.</p></blockquote>
<p>&#8230;which I thought very charitable to the respondents.</p>
<p>I think what Theos are increasingly discovering is that surveys can&#8217;t be trusted. They are repeatedly finding that a sizable fraction of the population will say yes to anything you care to ask them. I&#8217;m quite prepared to believe that London is an unusually credulous city, but given that <a href="http://www.statistics.gov.uk/census2001/profiles/rank/jedi.asp">the 2001 survey tells me that 1.4% of its population is Jedi</a>, I&#8217;m tempted to think it might also be a city that doesn&#8217;t poll well.</p>
<p>And astrology? <em>Really</em>? Surely by now everyone in the world knows that astrology columns are just written by whoever happens to be passing at the time, with no thought or reference to any source of knowledge, just like the science reporting. I don&#8217;t believe that 22% of the population think that the stars and planets control their lives. I don&#8217;t accept that a fifth of the people I see in the street really believe that the arbitrary shapes drawn in the sky by convention dictate their fortune.</p>
<p>Are they counting &#8216;I suppose there might be something in it&#8217; as a yes? Are they excluding &#8216;I don&#8217;t know&#8217; responses from the results? Did they phone round houses in the middle of the day? We don&#8217;t know, because Theos&#8217; press release doesn&#8217;t say. But any of those seems more likely than 4 million Londoners believing in ghosts. Nobody believes in ghosts. It&#8217;s a lunatic fringe belief, like crop circles or fairies.</p>
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		<title>Alright, I&#8217;m bored of you now.</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/05/06/alright-im-bored-of-you-now/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/05/06/alright-im-bored-of-you-now/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2009 23:51:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Swine Flu]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=1016</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is a long rambling post dissecting the arguments of one Tom Vizzini with regards to swine flu. It may or may not be of interest to you, but I had to get this out of my head so that I can sleep, and to that end I&#8217;ve put it here. Read it if you [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is a long rambling post dissecting the arguments of one Tom Vizzini with regards to swine flu. It may or may not be of interest to you, but I had to get this out of my head so that I can sleep, and to that end I&#8217;ve put it here. Read it if you want.</p>
<blockquote><p>Andrew,</p>
<p>I have implied nothing. You just donâ€™t seem to be able to read.</p></blockquote>
<p>Nice. That&#8217;s class, right there, isn&#8217;t it? That was the response when I accused Vizzini of &#8220;[implying] that swine flu is a media-invented scare story like wifi or MMR or whatever&#8221;. Now obviously there are two sides to every story, and where one person reads clear implication another might read baseless inference, so I shall paste in the opening of <a href="http://www.essential-skills.com/?p=690">Vizzini&#8217;s blogpost</a> and let you be the judge:</p>
<blockquote><p>Hi folks,</p>
<p>I am sickâ€¦.sick of the swine flu. I have never seen so much hype over something so stupid.</p></blockquote>
<p>Now I&#8217;d have said that that fairly clearly implies that swine flu is &#8217;stupid&#8217;. A stupid thing to worry about. A silly little disease that poses no threat. Obviously I&#8217;m reading between the lines somewhat here, and you can&#8217;t really get all that from those two and a half sentences, so here&#8217;s a bit more:</p>
<blockquote><p>The excuses have already begun. â€œEven if the swine virus doesnâ€™t prove as potent as authorities first feared, that doesnâ€™t mean the U.S. and World Health Organization overreacted in racing to prevent a pandemic, or worldwide spread, of a virus never before seen.â€</p>
<p>Uhâ€¦.yes it does. All these â€˜expertsâ€™ are going to have egg on their face and now they are trying to justify scaring the crap out of your for no good reason.</p></blockquote>
<div style="background:white; margin:5px; border:1px solid #aaa; padding:5px; float:right"><center><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/30526059@N06/3489990635/" title="Cubreboca" target="_blank"><img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3650/3489990635_d1ce9294b0_m.jpg" alt="Cubreboca" border="0" /></a><br /><small><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" title="Attribution License" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/wp-content/plugins/photo-dropper/images/cc.png" alt="Creative Commons License" border="0" width="16" height="16" align="absmiddle" /></a> <a href="http://www.photodropper.com/photos/" target="_blank">photo</a> credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/30526059@N06/3489990635/" title="â–  Guerry" target="_blank">â–  Guerry</a></small></center></div>
<p>You see? His point, so he claims, is that people who wear facemasks because they&#8217;re scared of swine flu are stupid. I&#8217;ll come to that in a minute, but those people are not the same people as work for the WHO or the CDC. He&#8217;s veered off onto a tangent here and is mocking the epidemiology experts who have been working to prevent a H1N1 pandemic. That, to me, is not the action of a man who believes there is a risk of widespread infection. That is the action of a man who thinks we should let it run its course and see how many people die. He&#8217;s clearly betting on &#8216;not many&#8217;, and deriding people who disagree. That is an attempt to entirely debunk swine flu as a potential pandemic, and it&#8217;s simply too early to do that. <a href="http://www.badscience.net/2009/04/parmageddon/">Ben Goldacre refused to debunk it three times in the time it took him to write an article about how often he&#8217;s been asked to debunk it</a>.</p>
<p>He may or may not have meant to imply it, but I think that he did. And given that Vizzini&#8217;s post and comments are riddled with non-standard punctuation andÂ typos (to the point where he misspells &#8216;IQ&#8217;), and give the general impression that they were rushed off just as fast as he can type, it seems likely that I&#8217;ve read it more carefully than he wrote it and therefore probably the failure is on his end. Certainly he doesn&#8217;t use language in the most nuanced way I&#8217;ve ever seen. Here, for example, is a selection of his ripostes to my criticism (my emphasis):</p>
<blockquote><p>You mean someone was so stupid that the nest [sic] they could do was make fun of a typo?Â Bet they were wearing a mask! &#8230;Â You just donâ€™t seem to be able to read. &#8230;Â Run around terrified if you want to. &#8230;Â A mask is a very visible IQ test at this point. To me it is very much the same as people who pick a typo out of an article and use it to invalidate the article.Â Andrew&#8230;.you failed that test.Â When you have to use a typo to make a point then you have run out of anything intelligent to offer. &#8230;Â Frankly Andrew you suck at debate. If points such as spelling are not relevant then don&#8217;t mention them. It makes you appear desperate and ill informed. &#8230;Â Just another example of your tendency to not be able to focus on the topic.Â <strong>I always find it funny that someone like you tosses out insults but then is so fragile when they get tossed back at you. Your mentioning a typo was arrogant and&#8230;.stupid.</strong> If you can&#8217;t handle it then learn how to have civil disagreements without acting like a twit.Â &#8230; Stupid people tend not to be able to think for themselves. You have said nothing to contradict that assertion.</p></blockquote>
<p>That&#8217;s right, he acts as if I&#8217;m wearing a mask. He literally cannot distinguish &#8216;I consider there is a chance of a pandemic in the future&#8217; from &#8216;OH GOD OH GOD I&#8217;M GOING TO DIE WHERE IS MY FACEMASK?&#8217;. I have, for the record, never insulted him. I have criticised his arguments, and he seems incapable of distinguishing that from mindlessly abusing him, which, if I&#8217;m generous, explains his argument style. (Okay, maybeÂ <em>now</em> I&#8217;ve insulted him.) For the record, here is my first comment:</p>
<blockquote><p>That guy&#8217;s massively missed the point. Sure, wearing masks now is dumb, but the fact that 1000 people are sick is a worry because the disease might BECOME pandemic. He conflates the media whipping up a profitable panic with the WHO giving out expert advice, then has a go at them for taking measures to prevent a pandemic because they might work and then he can say &#8216;look, see, there was nothing to worry about&#8217;.</p>
<p>Also, he misspelt &#8216;IQ&#8217;.</p></blockquote>
<p>You can see how I clearly relied on that one typo to invalidate his argument. Clearly there&#8217;s no way that could be a throwaway comment, a joke if you will, finding humour in an unfortunately placed transposition error.</p>
<p>But enough of such frivolity. The main thrust of his argument, he tells me, is this:</p>
<blockquote><p>If you own a business and someone shows up with a mask onâ€¦.fire them. They are too dumb to work for you. They have no common sense. In a way this is <a href="http://www.qi.com/news/item.php?id=780">an QI test</a> [see?] for your company.</p>
<p>&#8230;</p>
<p>It is stupid. The people in masks are stupid. &#8230; The masks are a visible sign of how stupid they are. &#8230;Â If you own a business and one of your employees shows up in a maskâ€¦find a reason to get rid of them. They are too stupid for whatever job you hired them for.</p></blockquote>
<p>You see how he doesn&#8217;t toss out insults or come across as arrogant at all. But still, is he right? Certainly with the number of cases of swine flu so much lower than the number of cases of regular seasonal flu, and given that facemasks don&#8217;t actually work all that well, wearing them is a bit stupid. (Well, unless you wore them before swine flu. That&#8217;s fair enough. The tube is gross.) But his claim is not &#8216;it is a stupid thing to do&#8217;. It is &#8216;the people who do it are stupid&#8217;. As I said to him,</p>
<blockquote><p>The media, the tabloids particularly, love to scare people, because scared people buy tabloid newspapers &#8212; and they&#8217;veÂ <span class="text_exposed_show">got very good at it, largely by refusing to be hampered by inconvenient details such as facts. I know that. You know that. Not everyone knows that. I mean, I think it&#8217;s stupid to use Microsoft Word as an HTML editor, but I appreciate that some people don&#8217;t know better and that doesn&#8217;t make them stupid. I think it&#8217;s pretty stupid to imagine that God exists, but I certainly don&#8217;t think all religious people are stupid.</span></p></blockquote>
<p>For the record, his response to this was the phrase &#8216;just another excuse for stupid people&#8217; followed by the last six sentences of the torrent of abuse I quoted earlier. You see how I&#8217;m &#8216;[tossing] out insults&#8217; there, using inflammatory phrases like &#8216;that doesn&#8217;t make them stupid&#8217; and &#8216;I certainly don&#8217;t think [they're] stupid&#8217;.</p>
<p>I just think that if you say &#8216;people are stupid&#8217; and leave it at that, it&#8217;s defeatist and misanthropic, condescending and unhelpful. If you engage with them you can change their minds. If you see the bigger picture you can see where the weaknesses are that we can fix and improve matters. If you just write off humanity as too thick to survive then you become a small part of the problem. His solution is to make them all unemployed. That&#8217;s what we need, a lot of uneducated people with no money. That will definitely solve both swine flu and the credit crunch. I want to think it&#8217;s meant in jest and he&#8217;s actually more progressive than that, but I&#8217;m really not convinced.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll be interested to see if Vizzini replies to this.</p>
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		<title>So, I wonder what the Pope&#8217;s been up to lately&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/03/19/so-i-wonder-what-the-popes-been-up-to-lately/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/03/19/so-i-wonder-what-the-popes-been-up-to-lately/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Mar 2009 23:07:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Catholicism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christianity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pope]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vatican]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=1002</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Because, you know, the Pope never makes me cross.
First of all was the story ofÂ Jose Cardoso Sobrinho, the Archbishop of Recife&#8217;s decision to excommunicate a woman who helped her daughter get an abortion. The daughter was nine. She needed an abortion because her Catholic stepfather raped her. The rapist was not excommunicated. The Vatican supported [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Because, you know, the Pope never makes me cross.</p>
<p>First of all was the story ofÂ <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/southamerica/brazil/4968239/Brazils-president-attacks-Vatican-for-condemning-nine-year-old-rape-victims-abortion.html">Jose Cardoso Sobrinho, the Archbishop of Recife&#8217;s decision to excommunicate a woman who helped her daughter get an abortion</a>. The daughter was nine. She needed an abortion because her Catholic stepfather raped her. The rapist was not excommunicated. The Vatican supported all of this, so the only way these actions make any sense is if the Vatican considers abortion worse than raping a nine-year-old girl. And that nearly makes sense, except that the girl would probably have died in childbirth, so even if you consider her twin fÅ“tuses &#8216;people&#8217; you still have to be pretty warped to expect her to die for the crime of being raped. (Warped, or Muslim.)</p>
<p>After that, the Vatican calmed down a little and celebrated International Women&#8217;s Day, by &#8212; I know, this <em>has</em> to be gold, doesn&#8217;t it? &#8212; by publishing an article asking the question &#8220;What in the 20th century did most to liberate Western women?&#8221; and reaching the rather brilliant conclusion that it was probably <em><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE5282ME20090309">the invention of the washing machine</a></em>. Not the right to work. Not women&#8217;s suffrage. Definitely a machine that makes cleaning clothes (which clearly is Women&#8217;s Work) easier. I mean, even if that&#8217;s pragmatically true (which it isn&#8217;t) <em>don&#8217;t say so right after you&#8217;ve okayed raping small girls</em>.</p>
<div style="float: left; text-align: center; padding: 5px; margin: 5px; border: 1px solid #cccccc;"><a title="openDemocracy" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/14071207@N00/2845930653/" target="_blank"></a><a title="Pope_cropped" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/14071207@N00/2845930653/" target="_blank"><img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3248/2845930653_f9954d8186.jpg" border="0" alt="Pope_cropped" /><br />
</a><span style="color: #888888;">It&#8217;s lucky the Pope isn&#8217;t at allÂ <em>utterly terrifying</em>.<br />
<span style="color: #000000;"><a title="Attribution-ShareAlike License" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/wp-content/plugins/photo-dropper/images/cc.png" border="0" alt="Creative Commons License" width="16" height="16" align="absmiddle" /></a><span style="color: #888888;"> </span><a href="http://www.photodropper.com/photos/" target="_blank"><span style="color: #888888;">photo</span></a><span style="color: #888888;"> credit: </span><a title="openDemocracy" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/14071207@N00/2845930653/" target="_blank"><span style="color: #888888;">openDemocracy</span></a></span></span></div>
<p>After that piece of light-hearted batshit whimsy, the Pope decided to refocus his efforts on Catholicism&#8217;s core competency: ruining innocent people&#8217;s lives with arbitrary and idiotic dogma. This time, it&#8217;s Africa&#8217;s turn. Speaking about the AIDS epidemic there, the Pope himself, not a lackey this time, said <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/vaticancityandholysee/5005357/Pope-Benedict-XVI-condoms-make-Aids-crisis-worse.html">&#8220;the distribution of condoms&#8230; aggravates the problems&#8221;</a>. The Telegraph have found themselves a priest to defend him &#8212; and let&#8217;s mention now that <a href="http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/george_pitcher/blog/2009/03/18/why_the_pope_is_right_about_condoms">I&#8217;m only inferring he&#8217;s a priest from his photo</a>. Nowhere do they bother to actually <em>mention</em>Â that <em>he works for the Pope</em>, because that might be a bit too much like declaring one&#8217;s interests for the mainstream media. Their priest, George Pitcher, rehashes the same old argument I&#8217;ve heard over and over again: &#8220;that the Church&#8217;s historic teaching that chastity outside marriage and fidelity within it would prevent the spread of killer diseases such as Aids&#8221;. And this is true, but alas irrelevant, because nobody is criticising that teaching. (At least, I&#8217;m not. At the moment.) What we are criticising is the Pope&#8217;s claim that distributing condoms will make the AIDS epidemic worse. This claim is demonstrably false. It turns out that if you grow up and go with the facts instead of just making shit up, you can actually make a difference and save some lives.</p>
<p>The problem I have with the Pope&#8217;s speech is not that he advocated abstinence: it is that he specifically lied about something that we know works. Even if nobody acts on his advice, if they believe the epidemiological claims that he makes then they will make bad decisions and people will die.</p>
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		<title>I am being inexpertly censored!</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/03/07/i-am-being-inexpertly-censored/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/03/07/i-am-being-inexpertly-censored/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Mar 2009 16:26:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arguments in the comments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Homeopathy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=996</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have just been hilariously banned from commenting on the homeopathy blog &#8216;homeopathy4health&#8217; after this discussion. Why?
Andrewâ€™s comments are no longer allowed on this blog. This is because he has a tendency to write opinions based on logic and not from experience or facts. He is a programmer by profession.
Dammit, I do have a tendancy [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://homeopathy4health.wordpress.com/2008/05/04/homeopathy-as-effective-as-standard-care-for-eczema/#comment-1882">I have just been hilariously banned from commenting</a> on the homeopathy blog &#8216;homeopathy4health&#8217; after <a href="http://homeopathy4health.wordpress.com/2007/12/10/worldwide-growth-and-acceptance-of-homeopathy/#comment-1850">this discussion</a>. Why?</p>
<blockquote><p>Andrewâ€™s comments are no longer allowed on this blog. This is because he has a tendency to write opinions based on logic and not from experience or facts. He is a programmer by profession.</p></blockquote>
<p>Dammit, I <em>do</em> have a tendancy to write opinions based on logic. Oh, she really nailed me there. &#8216;Zing&#8217;, I should think, and probably even &#8216;oh, snap&#8217;. And so forth. Feel free to visualise Jon Stewart-style gesturing if it helps.</p>
<p>Goodbye, then, anonymous homeopath. Live long and prosper.</p>
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		<title>An Analogy</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/03/01/an-analogy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/03/01/an-analogy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2009 17:50:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christianity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Christian Institute]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=925</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This has been kicking around my drafts folder for ages. Not sure why I never posted it, but here it is now anyway.
Suppose you got a massive bucket of bricks that weighed more than all but the fattest bastard. Clearly it is a bad thing to weigh more than it. Say then that every year [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>This has been kicking around my drafts folder for ages. Not sure why I never posted it, but here it is now anyway.</em></p>
<p>Suppose you got a massive bucket of bricks that weighed more than all but the fattest bastard. Clearly it is a bad thing to weigh more than it. Say then that every year you removed a brick, until it weighed the same as someone merely <em>fairly chubby</em>. It is clearly still bad to weigh more than the bucket of bricks. It is still true that those heavier than it die younger than those lighter. Only now, loads more people are heavier than it &#8212; primarily because it&#8217;s so much lighter than it used to be.</p>
<p>You now understand logic <a href="http://www.christian.org.uk/news/20080924/children-suffering-as-more-parents-cohabit/">better than The Christian Institute</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>A new in-depth study has added to mounting evidence that being born outside of marriage damages children.Â The report, compiled by researchers at the University of Essex, says that 44 per cent of babies are now born to unmarried parents. Cohabitees are estimated to make up three-quarters of those parents.</p></blockquote>
<p>Well, technically, but hold on&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>A new in-depth study has added to mounting evidence that being born outside of marriage damages children.</p></blockquote>
<p>What? The study does no such thing. It says that co-habiting parents are more likely to split up than married ones (a fact which has many interesting causes, none of which involve Jesus), that children whose parents split up are worse off than those whose parents stay together, and that more children are being born out of wedlock.</p>
<p>Well yes, but unmarried couples are staying together longer than they used to: because the point at which the average couple marry &#8212; the number of bricks in the bucket &#8212; is changing. It&#8217;s not an illusory problem, and I&#8217;d hate to imply that it is, but the simplistic spin put on it by the Christian Institute (&#8221;<a href="http://www.christian.org.uk/whoweare/index.htm">The Christian Institute exists for the furtherance and promotion of the Christian religion in the United Kingdom&#8221;</a>, so no agenda there) is just pathetic.Â To support that conclusion, you want a large cohort study, with a group of children of married parents and a matched group of unmarried ones &#8212; with similar incomes, social class, inteligence, location, and so forth, as any of those and other factors could affect odds of break-up and children&#8217;s welfare. That <a href="http://www.esrc.ac.uk/ESRCInfoCentre/about/CI/CP/the_edge/issue8/births_1.aspx?ComponentId=2407&amp;SourcePageId=10746">wasn&#8217;t even hinted at</a> in any account of the report I can find. (I don&#8217;t think a RCT where the participants are unaware whether they&#8217;re legally wed would be particularly useful, but it would certainly be funny.)</p>
<p>And remember: the CI is a charity. Every time someone donates to them, the income tax paid on that is handed to the CI. So <em>you funded this article</em>. And so did I. And I&#8217;m cross about that, because it&#8217;s like everything I hate most rolled into one.</p>
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		<title>A Brilliant Argument</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/02/26/a-brilliant-argument/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/02/26/a-brilliant-argument/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Feb 2009 19:20:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bad Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Goldacre]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=991</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Watch this video. It features the most amazing argument you will ever see:

You may know already that I&#8217;m a fan of Ben Goldacre, but it&#8217;s not him. I found his style of agument quite conservative and traditional: people have been trying to win arguments by pointing out the gaping holes in their opponents&#8217; ideas for [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Watch this video. It features the most amazing argument you will ever see:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/Gg8LlUME-IM&#038;color1=0xb1b1b1&#038;color2=0xcfcfcf&#038;hl=en&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/Gg8LlUME-IM&#038;color1=0xb1b1b1&#038;color2=0xcfcfcf&#038;hl=en&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object></p>
<p>You may know already that I&#8217;m a fan of Ben Goldacre, but it&#8217;s not him. I found his style of agument quite conservative and traditional: people have been trying to win arguments by pointing out the gaping holes in their opponents&#8217; ideas for centuries. Ancient people used evidence to draw conclusions. There&#8217;s nothing new there.</p>
<p>No, his opponent, Dr Sigman, is the genius here. I have, in retrospect, seen his argument elsewhere, too, but he has formalised it further than most. Here it is in a nutshell:</p>
<ol>
<li>We disagree and are talking.</li>
<li>Therefore, There Is A Debate.</li>
<li>Therefore, the cautionary principle applies.</li>
<li>Therefore, whatever I dislike should be banned.</li>
</ol>
<div>It sounds so reasonable (well, a bit reasonable), and yet you can literally use the same rationale to argue semi-convincingly for a ban on anything you happen to mention.</div>
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		<title>Open Source Peer-Review</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/02/16/open-source-peer-review/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/02/16/open-source-peer-review/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Feb 2009 23:52:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GPeerReview]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=984</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Scientific journals have genuinely got the best business model in the history of anything ever. Here is how it works, in a nutshell:

Other people, scientists, write their content for no fee.
The journal then gets other scientists to review it. These scientists generally don&#8217;t get paid either.
The authors edit the paper and send it back.Â Eventually, all [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Scientific journals have genuinely got the best business model in the history of anything ever. Here is how it works, in a nutshell:</p>
<ul>
<li>Other people, scientists, write their content for no fee.</li>
<li>The journal then gets other scientists to review it. These scientists generally don&#8217;t get paid either.</li>
<li>The authors edit the paper and send it back.Â Eventually, all the scientists reach a version of the paper they can all agree on (or the paper gets withdrawn). Then the authors pay the journal to publish the paper.</li>
<li>The journal then charges anyone who ever wants to read the paper extortionate fees. $50 for a PDF file is not uncommon.</li>
<li>The journal retains the copyright on the words they didn&#8217;t write describing experiments they didn&#8217;t do, and claim fees for reading it at least until the copyright expires and usually long after that.</li>
<li>None of the scientists or their employers ever get paid.</li>
</ul>
<p>This, to me, seems like an insane system. It survives because universities don&#8217;t care if they pay extortionate fees for such things and because it&#8217;s established. And probably when it was established it made sense &#8212; after all, who else but journals could publish things? But now it&#8217;s just academia needlessly funnelling money into a mostly pointless publishing racket. I really don&#8217;t see what it achieves.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve said before that a better system would just be for universities to publish papers and let anyone who wants to comment on them comment on them. I hadn&#8217;t worked out the details, obviously, so it was one lunchtime rant in the pub opposite the lab and I didn&#8217;t think much more about it until the next time I hit a paywall demanding I give some publishers $75 to read a paper written by my own supervisor. But someone else has worked them out. It&#8217;s not perhaps an ideal system, but it looks pretty good to me <em>and</em> it&#8217;s compatible with the existing system.</p>
<div style="float:right;border:black 1px solid; background:#DDDDDD;width:50%;margin:5px;padding:5px">
<p><strong>Public Key Cryptography</strong>Â for those who haven&#8217;t heard of it.</p>
<p><em>You have a public key and a private key. You can encrypt something with the private key and it can be decrypted with the public one, so you can use it to prove that you wrote it. I think you can also encrypt something with the public key that only the holder of the private key can read. It&#8217;s basically just magic.</em></p>
</div>
<p>Dubbed <a href="http://code.google.com/p/gpeerreview/">GPeerReview</a> (I don&#8217;t know what the &#8216;G&#8217; stands for but the author&#8217;s name is Gashler so that&#8217;s likely), the idea is that you post your paper on your academic website, email people you think would be interested, and those and any other readers can review it. They sign their review, along with a hash of the paper, with public key cryptography so you know who wrote it and what about. That way, you get an idea of how much support a paper has and, crucially, what kinds of people support it. The author of the paper puts up the most credible supportive reviews they can find. In theory, if it becomes accepted then there&#8217;ll no longer be any need for conventional publication. It&#8217;s a very clever system. (See also, the more established <a href="http://www.ResearchBlogging.org">ResearchBlogging.org</a>Â &#8211; which <a href="http://groups.google.com/group/gpeerreview/browse_thread/thread/36b4b7fb5b1f3179">Gashler says could be complementary to GPeerReview but covers rather different ground</a>. I think I agree with him on that &#8212; it&#8217;d be great to see things like that running it tandem.)</p>
<p>I&#8217;d love to see something like this made to work across academia. I suspect, though, that what kills it will be that real people don&#8217;t understand nerd stuff like public key cryptography. Everyone else in my research unit gets all annoyed if I try to use LaTeX or Bibtex at them. (Well, the dentists do &#8212; the other physicists love it. I witnessed a long argument about a week ago over the relative merits of Microsoft Project versus the open source alternative, which boiled down in the end to &#8216;well the free software probably is better but if we collaborate with anyone else they&#8217;ll demand we use Project&#8217; which to me seems like a really crappy way of doing things &#8212; I&#8217;d rather piss people off by doing the right thing than pander to idiots and help keep Microsoft&#8217;s monopoly onÂ proprietary,Â buggy software healthy.) They act as if Word and EndNote are somehow better. In my experience, Word doesn&#8217;t work properly and EndNote formats citations basically at random. LaTeX is a pig to get set up but at least once you&#8217;ve done it it <em>stays</em> set up. To be honest, I think that&#8217;s another thing that needs sorting: we need a specialist scientific markup language. Maybe a form of HTML (or other XML), with a standard equation format and a few extra specialised tags, perhaps includingÂ COinS for citations, whichÂ the reader software could be configured to render as a conventional reference, or as a hyperlink, or as whatever they like. A CSS-like &#8216;default&#8217; style for a particular paper would be fair enough, but the current system that forcibly changes the format depending on which journal happens to have published the paper is rather silly. I don&#8217;t want a stack of PDF files all formatted differently. I want a folder full of pictures and ASCII-encoded markup that I can process and output how I like. Get into the twenty-first century. That&#8217;s how we do things here, because it&#8217;s a better way of doing it.</p>
<p>And there&#8217;s no reason that all of the above couldn&#8217;t be implemented really very easily, and I&#8217;d love to see peer review evolve into something more open and transparent than the existing system, which still relies on the trustworthiness of journal editors and the word of a few unidentified reviewers per paper. But we need nice, simple user interfaces on every part of it or else Joe Scientist isn&#8217;t going to actually bother to do it. We need a nice WYSIWYG program to edit the papers, then a nice Wordpress-style package to maintain your site, and a nice package to let you write reviews without much effort. Make it simple, and people might adopt it. Which is frustrating, because by rights you&#8217;d think a good scientist would be exactly the kind of person who would leap at the chance to adopt an open, collaborative, technological and free solution to a problem. Those are the qualities that science runs on. And I can&#8217;t see what we&#8217;d lose by switching to such a system, other than a load of jobs at journal publishers &#8212; and I&#8217;m sure the big journals would find a way to adapt. Perhaps they&#8217;d act as aggregators or run interesting comment pieces more often or something. (I should link to this very interesting discussion, <a href="http://groups.google.com/group/gpeerreview/browse_thread/thread/499aac93f9275433">where Gashler explains what journals do that is useful and that GPeerReview doesn&#8217;t do</a>. I&#8217;m not convinced it&#8217;s all really a job for <em>journals</em>Â per se, but someone will have to keep doing all that. Personally, I think universities should do most of it.)</p>
<p>Bah. I just get frustrated when people cling to what they know instead of adopting obviously better alternatives, like Linux or metric or atheism or not torturing people. I guess that&#8217;s just a failing I have. But I&#8217;d love to know how any of the above could be shoehorned into the modern scientific community.</p>
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		<title>JanuaryBiscuit</title>
		<link>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/02/01/januarybiscuit/</link>
		<comments>http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/2009/02/01/januarybiscuit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jan 2009 23:00:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Computers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[In Character]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Atheist Bus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Patrick Holford]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Department of Children Schools and Families]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UN]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.apathysketchpad.com/blog/?p=967</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here are my NewsBiscuit submissions for January 2009. There are quite a few, so I&#8217;ve put one to start off with, then the rest after the fold (i.e., a link at the bottom of the post). They are in no particular order, but they are shuffled to try to keep the Atheist Bus ones separate. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here are my <a href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/2/board.html">NewsBiscuit submissions</a> for January 2009. There are quite a few, so I&#8217;ve put one to start off with, then the rest after the fold (i.e., a link at the bottom of the post). They are in no particular order, but they are shuffled to try to keep the Atheist Bus ones separate. (Atheist buses are a goldmine of comedy, I think, so I repeatedly tried different angles on it. I never came up with anything <a href="http://creativeyear.wordpress.com/2009/01/18/110/">this good</a>, though.)</p>
<p><a id="mSubject42200" rel="mSubject:42200:1231872394" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/42/20/0//Christian-Scientists-Split-God.html"><strong>Christian Scientists Split God</strong></a></p>
<p>A group of Christian research scientists in Massachusetts announced this week that they had managed for the first time to split God, also known as the Higgs particle although mostly to annoy physicists, into his component parts. God is believed to have existed in the conditions immediately prior to the Big Bang.</p>
<p>They made the discovery using a machine called the Holy Smoke Chamber. A fragment of the True Cross was accelerated to 40% the speed of light and collided with a King James Bible. The 25m wide device is cooled by a constant stream of holy water. A team of 5 priests work round the clock blessing the inbound pipelines. Researchers were able to detect two of God&#8217;s components in the debris from the explosion.</p>
<p>According to Christian scientific theory, God is composed of three smaller particles called father, son and holy spirit. The trace from the Holy Smoke Chamber clearly shows a trail for the son particle, which curves gracefully through the chamber for five nanoseconds before ascending into heaven, more-or-less in line with the theory. The father particle&#8217;s trace, however, did not agree with calculated predictions. The researchers have admitted that the way the father particle moves is &#8216;mysterious&#8217;, but are confident an explanation will be found. The holy spirit particle was not observed. The Christian scientists believe that this particle passed clean through the chamber like a ghost.</p>
<p>Most Christian scientists agree that the father and son particles could tell us a lot about the universe if we can unlock their secrets. The experiments have been criticised by others, however, who claim that earlier work by Revelation et al suggests that recreating the son particle on earth could trigger a process known as &#8216;armageddon&#8217;, which potentially could wipe out life on Earth.</p>
<p><a id="mSubject40147" rel="mSubject:40147:1231025090" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/40/14/7//DCSF-delight-as-exam-results-show-which.html"><strong><span id="more-967"></span>DCSF delight as exam results show which pupils are stupid</strong></a></p>
<p>Schools minister Ed Balls has expressed his delight at a &#8216;mixed bag&#8217; of exam results, which he says &#8216;accurately show which pupils are clever and which are a bit stupid.&#8217; When the results were announced, Gordon Brown described them as &#8216;disappointing,&#8217; saying that &#8216;we had hoped more students might achieve the top grades,&#8217; but Balls now claims that the purpose of exams is to gauge the different ability of students in various subjects and that a good distribution of grades, including fails, is needed to accomplish this.</p>
<p>&#8216;This is absolute nonsense,&#8217; said Beverley Hughes in an interview earlier today. &#8216;The purpose of testing students is to demonstrate how wildly successful our education reforms have been. We had been looking forward to another year of record-breaking exam results, and the exciting possibility of introducing a new top-grade to cope with the number of pupils achieving A* at GCSE, but now the system has been hijacked by teachers who just want to know how their students are doing.&#8217; Insiders say the planned introduction of the new grade, tentatively named &#8216;AA1*+&#8217; was intended to be a much-publicised event designed to underline the runaway success of both students and the Labour Party. The introduction has been put on hold pending an improvement in exam grades.</p>
<p>Employers have praised the latest results, saying that their similarity to the previous years&#8217; results will make it easier to compare job applicants who sat them in different years, as well as clearly showing which pupils are habitual underachievers and should not be considered for important jobs. It is even thought that preventing stupid people from entering highly paid and responsible jobs could help the economy in the long term, and employers have been looking for a system of doing just that for many years, but Children&#8217;s minister Delyth Morgan has said that national exam results should not be used in this way. &#8216;This isn&#8217;t what they were designed to do. They are purely a tool for demonstrating the achievements of our department and the government in general.&#8217; Some employers have gone so far as to suggest that some government ministers have a vested interest in maintaining the status-quo in which unqualified and incompetent people can remain in well paid, high-power jobs simply by engineering a series of spuriously inflated exam results. Ed Balls has strenuously denied these rumours, citing a government spreadsheet which would &#8216;authoritatively debunk these rumours&#8217; had he not left the CD on a bus.</p>
<p><a id="mSubject40233" rel="mSubject:40233:1231107726" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/40/23/3//Analogue-Switchoff-Your-Questions-Answe.html"><strong>Analogue Switchoff: Your Questions Answered</strong></a></p>
<p><strong>Will I need to get a new TV?</strong></p>
<p>No. In most cases you will need to purchase a digital receiver box to plug into your existing set. This will enable you to receive digital broadcasts after analogue is turned off. Most analogue TV will be switched off by 2011, but your area may differ.</p>
<p><strong>Will I need to get a new radio?</strong></p>
<p>Eventually. Analogue radio is being continued longer than analogue TV. No date has yet been set for this but sometime around 2015 seems likely. When this happens you will need to purchase a &#8216;DAB&#8217; Digital Radio.</p>
<p><strong>Will I need to get a new clock?</strong></p>
<p>Yes. When analogue time is turned off in 2020, old-style analogue clocks will stop working. You will need to upgrade to a digital clock to enable you to continue telling the time. You will probably already own a digital clock as it will be built into your digital radio.</p>
<p><strong>What other analogue products will need replacing?</strong></p>
<p>If for some reason you still own a video cassette recorder, you will need to replace it with a Digital Versatile Disc (DVD) player. You will also be unable to play vinyl records and audio cassettes and will need to replace these with digital media such as MP3s or CDs.</p>
<p><strong>Is there anything else I should know?</strong></p>
<p>In 2025, analogue description will be turned off. Among other changes, you will no longer be able to describe the height of a person by gesturing and saying &#8216;about this high&#8217;. You will need to give a figure. You may continue give this figure in feet and inches as long as you also provide a metric estimate. For reference, six feet is approximately 1.5m, and two inches is roughly 0.05m.</p>
<p><a id="mSubject41006" rel="mSubject:41006:1231368027" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/41/00/6//Atheist-Buses-to-be-followed-by-Agnostic.html"><strong>Atheist Buses to be followed by Agnostic Trams, Troubled Billboards</strong></a></p>
<p>Following the success of the so-called &#8220;Atheist Bus&#8221; campaign, other irreligious groups have launched similar efforts. The atheist message being plastered across buses throughout Britain reads &#8220;There&#8217;s probably no god. Now stop worrying and enjoy your life.&#8221; Next week sees the launch of the &#8220;Agnostic Tram&#8221;, which bears the message &#8220;I don&#8217;t know if there&#8217;s a god &#8211; I&#8217;m just a tram.&#8221; The group behind the &#8220;Troubled Billboard&#8221; has not yet managed to agree on a wording, but the current favoured text is &#8220;There must be more to life than just this, but there&#8217;s so much bad stuff in the world&#8230; oh, why is it so complicated? I just try to be nice, what else can you do?&#8221;. The organisers had hoped to get a bus advert too, but it rapidly became apparent that there simply wouldn&#8217;t be enough space.</p>
<p>Commuters in Huddersfield have recently started seeing adverts in train stations which say &#8220;We don&#8217;t know if we actually believe in God, but weÂ <em>are</em>Â spiritual&#8221;. In one case, this advert is running right next to one that reads &#8220;I don&#8217;t know whether or not there&#8217;s a God, but there definitely aren&#8217;t any Thetans.&#8221; Nobody yet knows who paid for the double-page advert in Monday&#8217;s Telegraph which simply stated &#8220;oh, God, I&#8217;m so depressed.&#8221;</p>
<p>Surprisingly, a recent MORI poll asking which religious beliefs were most common found that most Britons agreed with the statement &#8220;I don&#8217;t care enough either way that I feel I have to paint it on a bus&#8221;.</p>
<p><a id="mSubject41007" rel="mSubject:41007:1231368124" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/41/00/7//Civilian-deaths-in-Gaza-More-soon.html"><strong>Civilian deaths in Gaza. More soon.</strong></a></p>
<p><a id="mSubject45140" rel="mSubject:45140:1233438387" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/45/14/0//UN-Troops-Help-Woman-With-Own-Personal-B.html"><strong>UN Troops Help Woman With Own Personal Battle Against Cancer</strong></a></p>
<p>Long-term cancer patient Amanda Myers, 42, was surprisedÂ earlier this monthÂ when fifty UN troops arrived in her hospital ward to help with what had previously been her own personal battle against cancer. Also surprised were the soldiers, who had previously been deployed keeping the peace in the Middle East. &#8216;They didn&#8217;t seem to know why they were there,&#8217; said Myers. &#8216;They&#8217;ve been very helpful, though. Supportive and always happy to pop to the shops when I need something.&#8217;</p>
<p>President of the UN Security Council Jean-Maurice Ripart told the press that after accusations that the UN did nothing about the oppressive regime of Saddam Hussein, the UN was keen to regain popularity by fighting something that everyone would support. What happened next is unclear, but it is known that the council discussed removing a rogue head of state, but had difficulty coming up with anybody suitably unpopular. After a number of names were dismissed as either only ambiguously dangerous or too obscure, the British delegate suggested cancer, having forgotten that English humour is not always understood by other nations.</p>
<p>A representative of the hospital where Myers is being treated said &#8217;strictly, we&#8217;re not supposed to allow visitors to stay in the ward 24/7, but when I explained this to the sergeant, he said &#8220;I don&#8217;t think so, Sir&#8221; and didn&#8217;t move. In the end we just let them stay. They haven&#8217;t caused any problems, apart from the two trasnsplant patients killed last week by friendly fire.&#8217;</p>
<p>So far, the UN say, the tumour in Myers&#8217; lung has &#8217;stubbornly refused to negotiate&#8217;, but they remain confident of victory.</p>
<p><a id="mSubject41737" rel="mSubject:41737:1231680399" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/41/73/7//Terrorist-changes-mind-after-seeing-athe.html"><strong>Terrorist changes mind after seeing atheist bus advert</strong></a></p>
<p>Police were called to a bus in London yesterday after a man was seen emptying an unidentified liquid onto the floor of the vehicle. Witnesses say he then dropped the bag and ran out of the bus laughing. Police analysis confirmed that the liquid was an explosive mixture of flour and peroxide which the would-be terrorist had apparently chosen not to detonate.</p>
<p>&#8216;I spotted him as soon as he got on the bus,&#8217; one witness said. &#8216;He looked troubled and was carrying a large bag. He seemed to get more and more agitated until he ripped open his bag, jumped out of his seat, and got off as quickly as he could at the next set of traffic lights.&#8217;</p>
<p>Following a brief investigation, police believe the man was an Islamic fundamentalist, most likely working alone, who was plotting to blow up the bus in protest at supposedly immoral western culture, but when getting onto the bus had read the advert on the side which says &#8216;there&#8217;s probably no God, now stop worrying and enjoy your life.&#8217;</p>
<p>The man has not yet been identified, but someone matching his description was seen that evening, sitting in the corner of a strip club with a bottle of tequila and a copy of &#8216;Unweaving the Rainbow&#8217;.</p>
<p><a id="mSubject41127" rel="mSubject:41127:1231419580" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/41/12/7//Bush-refuses-to-let-Obama-move-into-Blai.html"><strong>Bush refuses to let Obama move into Blair House early</strong></a></p>
<p>&#8220;I know the feeling&#8221; &#8211; Gordon Brown</p>
<p><a id="mSubject43014" rel="mSubject:43014:1232213412" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/43/01/4//Crop-circle-found-that-says-there-proba.html"><strong>Crop circle found that says &#8216;there probably is&#8217;.</strong></a></p>
<p><a id="mSubject41763" rel="mSubject:41763:1231699108" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/41/76/3//OfCom-say-Prince-Harry-video-outside-re.html"><strong>OfCom say Prince Harry video &#8216;outside remit&#8217;</strong></a></p>
<p>Despite receiving hundreds of complaints, OfCom have refused to rule on the alleged racial slur in a video made by Prince Harry three years ago and released recently by the News of the World, claiming that home videos are not subject to their guidelines.</p>
<p>One complaint, leaked to newspapers, reads &#8216;I would like to complain in the strongest possible terms about the despicable language used by &#8220;Prince&#8221; Harry in the recent programme &#8220;That Video He Made&#8221;. Although I myself am not in Harry&#8217;s squad and did not see the events in question, I found the seven seconds of out-of-context commentary which I read about in a reputable newspaper [sic] three years later deeply offensive, and I would like to know what measures will be put in place to prevent it happening again.&#8217; OfCom described the letter as &#8216;typical&#8217;.</p>
<p>Prince Harry, who made the offending remark, has already issued a statement saying that the term was used &#8216;without malice&#8217; and &#8216;as a nickname&#8217;. However, in an interview with BBC News the soldier&#8217;s uncle, who wasn&#8217;t there, has never met Harry, and knows only what his nephew chooses to tell him about their relationship, claims otherwise.</p>
<p>The Daily Express has already announced that it intends to escalate the incident to the level of Scandal, and claims to have found a series of similar incidents involving racist remarks or actions by other members of the royal family. A spokesperson for the palace told reporters that he thought it &#8216;highly unlikely&#8217; that the newspaper had unearthed such events, describing the royals as &#8216;highly reputable members of the international community&#8217; who &#8216;would not engage in racism or stereotyping.&#8217;</p>
<p><a id="mSubject42850" rel="mSubject:42850:1232120714" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/42/85/0//Scientists-admit-Hadron-Collider-created.html"><strong>Scientists admit Hadron Collider created Financial Black Hole</strong></a></p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><a id="mSubject43088" rel="mSubject:43088:1232299667" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/43/08/8//New-compression-algorithm-discards-infor.html"><strong>New compression algorithm discards information listeners are too uncouth to appreciate</strong></a></span></p>
<p>Apple have launched a new compression algorithm developed to further extend the capacity of their iPod music players. The format, called XF2, works by discarding any information that the listener won&#8217;t appreciate anyway. For example, the best selling XF2 file at the moment is Alexandra Burke&#8217;s cover of Hallelujah, which when compressed contains no Biblical imagery or dark undertones at all.</p>
<p>Audiophiles have been outraged by the announcement and are boycotting the new technology, however the general public have warmed to it immensely. One user told reporters &#8220;it&#8217;s great; I&#8217;ve managed to get the entire back catalogue of Girls Aloud, Hearsay and Britney Spears onto my iPod, and there&#8217;s still loads of space left.&#8221; A spokesperson for Apple commented on this review saying &#8220;what&#8217;s really good is that in this case the algorithm produces lossless compression, because there was never really anything to that music to begin with. This allows the system to shrink the songs greatly without losing anything. Many so-called &#8216;boy band&#8217; songs can actually be reconstituted entirely just from the titles.&#8221;</p>
<p>Some users have got more out of it than others. Michael Simon, a builder from Oldham, has found that most songs are very small files that download very fast, but Jason Cockburn, a writer from London, says that the music he downloads seems hardly to have compressed at all, with the exception of Don McClean&#8217;s American Pie. &#8220;That&#8217;s probably because it&#8217;s a stupid nonsense song anyway,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>Apple have admitted the new system does still have some bugs: currently the algorithm crashes when trying to compress Bohemian Rhapsody.</p>
<p>The name &#8216;XF2&#8242; does not stand for anything. In production the project had a much longer, cleverer name which was a reference to Dante, but that name has not been announced because the press release was XF2 encoded and it was felt that journalists wouldn&#8217;t get it.</p>
<p><a id="mSubject43070" rel="mSubject:43070:1232290295" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/43/07/0//Atheist-bus-on-collision-course-with-Chu.html"><strong>Atheist bus on collision course with Church</strong></a></p>
<p><a id="mSubject44063" rel="mSubject:44063:1232814678" href="http://newsbiscuit.com/board/44/06/3//Could-Apple-Juice-Be-Cure-For-Hiccups.html"><strong>Could Apple Juice Be Cure For Hiccups?</strong></a></p>
<p>According to Professor David Cook of Durham University, the answer may be &#8216;yes&#8217;. The discovery was made yesterday, when Cook had hiccups and noticed they were gone later that afternoon. In an exclusive interview secured by chance in a bar, he said &#8220;I don&#8217;t know what did it. Possibly they just went away on their own. I know I&#8217;d had a glass of apple juice. I suppose that might have helped.&#8221;</p>
<p>This ground-breaking clinical research offers hope to millions of sufferers worldwide, and nutritionist Patrick Holford has already launched his own range of apple-juice based pills which you should buy. In a press-release, he said that healthy adults should probably drink fifteen glasses of apple juice every two hours or, failing that, take just one of his &#8216;Cidex&#8217; brand apple-juice supplements.</p>
<p>Holford explains that the active ingredient in apples is the cell wall, which is much thicker than the membrane in human cells and therefore stronger. This means that the cells can be used to strengthen aspects of the human body such as the immune system, allowing patients to naturally fight off viruses such as the hiccups.</p>
<p>Sufferers of the hiccups are already demanding access to this new cure on the NHS, but NICE have remained adamant, saying that the treatment is unproven and therefore not cost effective. Newly founded support group JUICE has described this as &#8216;blatant bias and discrimination&#8217; against sufferers of &#8216;a serious disease which is often under-reported&#8217;. They say that experimental treatments such as this should be made available automatically.</p>
<p>If you would like more information on where to get this amazing new medicine, contact Cidex Ltd. immediately, on 0845 123 4789.</p>
<hr />While I was writing the last one, <a href="http://www.mailwatch.co.uk/2009/01/26/saturdays-mail-express/#comments">the Daily Express published this front page</a>. A little sooner and I could have been Terrifyingly Prescient. Maybe I&#8217;m cleverer than I realised.</p>
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